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I was always good at predicting the market direction. However my monkey brain was greedy and always went all-in with 100% margin level. I only became a profitable trader once I started doing risk management, and doing boring small lot sized trades with lots of spaces for sl and tp.
I also thought btc will go down to 13k. But too many people expect btc to bottom out. I'm not sure anymore. The more fearful people stay, the stronger this bullish retracement will be.