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Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

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BoE interest rate and weak USD: triggers for GBPUSD growth

Rising unemployment in the US is putting pressure on the USD. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD may continue to rise toward the 1.3590 area. Details — in our analysis for 24 December 2025.

GBPUSD forecast: key trading points
  • Primary Jobless Claims in the US: previous value — 224K, forecast — 227K
  • Current trend: moving upwards
  • GBPUSD forecast for 24 December 2025: 1.3590 and 1.3472
Fundamental analysis

The GBPUSD forecast for December 17, 2025 is favorable for the British pound, as prices have strong potential for further growth following a minor correction.

US Initial Jobless Claims show the number of people filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the previous week. This indicator reflects labor market conditions, and an increase signals rising unemployment.

Read this article on RoboForex website - GBPUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
 
US Tech forecast: the index continues its recovery

The US Tech index continues to rise toward the resistance level with the potential to reverse the trend. The US Tech forecast for next week is positive.

US Tech forecast: key trading points
  • Recent data: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for last week came in at 214K
  • Market impact: the data has a moderately negative impact on the technology sector
Fundamental analysis

Initial Jobless Claims measure how many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week. This is one of the most timely indicators of labor market conditions: the lower the reading, the more stable employment is and the fewer signs there are of economic deterioration. Claims came in at 214K, compared with a forecast of 224K and the previous reading of 224K. In other words, the figure was better than expected and declined from the prior week. This signals that the labor market remains resilient: companies are generally not accelerating layoffs, and consumer demand is typically supported by more stable household incomes.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US Tech Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
 
USDJPY returns to support near 156.00

USDJPY is declining, slipping into the area around 156.00 amid concerns over possible interventions by the Bank of Japan. Details — in our analysis for 29 December 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points
  • Market focus: the yen strengthens amid potential Bank of Japan interventions
  • Current trend: a downward correction is observed
  • USDJPY forecast for 29 December 2025: 155.55 or 157.00
Fundamental analysis

A brief summary of the December Bank of Japan meeting showed that policymakers discussed further monetary policy tightening even after last month’s rate hike to a multi-year high.

Several committee members argued that policy remains far from neutral in real terms and supported a gradual rate increase to stay ahead of inflation risks.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
 
US 500 forecast: the index has updated its all-time high

The US 500 has updated its all-time high and is now correcting. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.

US 500 forecast: key trading points
  • Recent data: US Durable Goods Orders in November fell by 2.2%
  • Market impact: the data has a moderately negative impact on the equity market
Fundamental analysis

The indicator declined by -2.2% month-on-month, which came in worse than the forecast of -1.5% and significantly weaker than the previous reading of +0.7%. This dynamic points to cooling demand for capital-intensive goods and may signal a slowdown in corporate investment plans in the coming months. For the US equity market, this usually acts as a moderately negative signal, primarily for sectors that depend on the industrial cycle and business investment. Investors may factor in more restrained revenue growth for industrial companies and equipment suppliers, which reduces overall optimism.

For the US 500 index, the effect is generally constraining. On the one hand, weaker orders worsen expectations for economic growth and profits among cyclical companies, putting pressure on the index. On the other hand, softer data may ease inflation concerns and support expectations of a more accommodative central bank policy, which partially offsets the negative impact.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 500 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
 

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