Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[Vlad RF]

BoE interest rate and weak USD: triggers for GBPUSD growth

Rising unemployment in the US is putting pressure on the USD. Against this backdrop, GBPUSD may continue to rise toward the 1.3590 area. Details — in our analysis for 24 December 2025.

GBPUSD forecast: key trading points

• Primary Jobless Claims in the US: previous value — 224K, forecast — 227K
• Current trend: moving upwards
• GBPUSD forecast for 24 December 2025: 1.3590 and 1.3472

Fundamental analysis

The GBPUSD forecast for December 17, 2025 is favorable for the British pound, as prices have strong potential for further growth following a minor correction.

US Initial Jobless Claims show the number of people filing for unemployment benefits for the first time during the previous week. This indicator reflects labor market conditions, and an increase signals rising unemployment.

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Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US Tech forecast: the index continues its recovery

The US Tech index continues to rise toward the resistance level with the potential to reverse the trend. The US Tech forecast for next week is positive.

US Tech forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: U.S. Initial Jobless Claims for last week came in at 214K
• Market impact: the data has a moderately negative impact on the technology sector

Fundamental analysis

Initial Jobless Claims measure how many people filed for unemployment benefits for the first time during the past week. This is one of the most timely indicators of labor market conditions: the lower the reading, the more stable employment is and the fewer signs there are of economic deterioration. Claims came in at 214K, compared with a forecast of 224K and the previous reading of 224K. In other words, the figure was better than expected and declined from the prior week. This signals that the labor market remains resilient: companies are generally not accelerating layoffs, and consumer demand is typically supported by more stable household incomes.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US Tech Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

USDJPY returns to support near 156.00

USDJPY is declining, slipping into the area around 156.00 amid concerns over possible interventions by the Bank of Japan. Details — in our analysis for 29 December 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• Market focus: the yen strengthens amid potential Bank of Japan interventions
• Current trend: a downward correction is observed
• USDJPY forecast for 29 December 2025: 155.55 or 157.00

Fundamental analysis

A brief summary of the December Bank of Japan meeting showed that policymakers discussed further monetary policy tightening even after last month’s rate hike to a multi-year high.

Several committee members argued that policy remains far from neutral in real terms and supported a gradual rate increase to stay ahead of inflation risks.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 500 forecast: the index has updated its all-time high

The US 500 has updated its all-time high and is now correcting. The US 500 forecast for today is positive.

US 500 forecast: key trading points

• Recent data: US Durable Goods Orders in November fell by 2.2%
• Market impact: the data has a moderately negative impact on the equity market

Fundamental analysis

The indicator declined by -2.2% month-on-month, which came in worse than the forecast of -1.5% and significantly weaker than the previous reading of +0.7%. This dynamic points to cooling demand for capital-intensive goods and may signal a slowdown in corporate investment plans in the coming months. For the US equity market, this usually acts as a moderately negative signal, primarily for sectors that depend on the industrial cycle and business investment. Investors may factor in more restrained revenue growth for industrial companies and equipment suppliers, which reduces overall optimism.

For the US 500 index, the effect is generally constraining. On the one hand, weaker orders worsen expectations for economic growth and profits among cyclical companies, putting pressure on the index. On the other hand, softer data may ease inflation concerns and support expectations of a more accommodative central bank policy, which partially offsets the negative impact.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 500 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Gold (XAUUSD) at a new peak: higher levels ahead

Gold (XAUUSD) prices have tested 4,600 USD, with the market relying on a pool of political risks. Find more details in our analysis for 12 January 2026.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

• Gold (XAUUSD) prices surged to a new high
• A broad spectrum of geopolitical risks supports demand for safe-haven assets
• US statistics are also bolstering gold

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) prices rose by more than 1% on Monday and exceeded 4,601 USD per ounce, reaching a new all-time high once again. The rally was driven by rising geopolitical risks and expectations of further interest rate cuts in the US.

On Sunday, Iran’s parliamentary speaker warned the US and Israel about the consequences of possible intervention following threats of military strikes by President Donald Trump. The statements came amid mass protests in Iran, which reportedly resulted in hundreds of deaths.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

USDJPY surges, reaching a new yearly high

The USDJPY rate is showing strong upward momentum, rising to the 159.00 area amid political instability in Japan. Find out more in our analysis for 13 January 2026.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• Market focus: Japan’s service sector index decreased to 48.6 in December 2025 from 48.7 a month earlier
• Current trend: trending upwards
• USDJPY forecast for 13 January 2026: 160.00 or 157.75

Fundamental analysis

The Japanese yen fell to around 159 per dollar, reaching its weakest levels since 2024 amid rising political uncertainty fuelled by speculation that Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi may dissolve parliament as early as next month.

Takaichi is expected to leverage her strong public support to push through expansionary fiscal policy. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama stated that she and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent shared concerns over the ‘one-sided depreciation’ of the yen following a bilateral meeting held on the sidelines of a multilateral gathering of finance ministers earlier this week.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Pound at the start of a new rally: what lies ahead for GBPUSD on 14 January 2026

The GBPUSD forecast for today favours the GBP, with quotes likely to regain ground and test the 1.3510 level. Find out more in our analysis for 14 January 2026.

GBPUSD forecast: key trading points

• US retail sales: previously at 0.4%, projected at 0.4%
• Speech by the Bank of England Deputy Governor for Markets and Banking Dave Ramsden
• GBPUSD forecast for 14 January 2026: 1.3510 and 1.3400

Fundamental analysis

The GBPUSD forecast for today, 14 January 2026, is favourable for the pound, with quotes having every chance for further growth after a minor correction.

Today, a speech by Dave Ramsden, Deputy Governor of the Bank of England for Markets and Banking, will take place. In his remarks, he may make statements or provide hints regarding the Bank of England’s next steps in monetary policy. In the event of an interest rate hike or the maintenance of a hawkish monetary policy stance, the British pound may strengthen

Read this article on RoboForex website - GBPUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team