Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[Vlad RF]

EURUSD in a Triangle: the market gears up for a sharp move

The EURUSD pair remains under pressure amid rising inflation risks, which supports demand for the US dollar. The rate currently stands at 1.1607. Find more details in our analysis for 6 March 2026.

EURUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Rising tensions in the Middle East increase instability in global financial markets
• Higher oil prices fuel concerns about a new wave of global inflation
• Markets have revised expectations for the timing of the Federal Reserve policy easing

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD rate is falling for the second consecutive session, but prices remain within a range with an upper boundary at 1.1645 and a lower boundary at 1.1575. The US dollar is supported by escalating tensions in the Middle East, which increases instability in global financial markets. Higher oil prices fuel concerns about a new wave of global inflation. This raises the likelihood that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates at elevated levels for longer.

Rising inflation risks are weighing on the currencies of major oil-importing countries, which additionally supports the US dollar. Markets have revised expectations for the timing of the Federal Reserve easing. Investors now expect the next rate cut in September or October, whereas previously it was anticipated as early as July.

Read this article on RoboForex website - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Gold (XAUUSD) weekly forecast: range-bound trading with a positive bias

Gold (XAUUSD) enters the week of 9–13 March around 5,170 USD per ounce after rising amid increased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Weekly performance: gold (XAUUSD) is hovering around 5,170 USD per ounce after rising amid heightened geopolitical risks.
• Support and resistance: the daily chart shows a steady uptrend formed back in autumn.
• Fundamentals and outlook: gold retains its status as a key safe-haven asset and remains sensitive to geopolitics and inflation expectations.

Fundamental analysis

Gold (XAUUSD) ended the week higher, holding around 5,170 USD per ounce. Prices are bolstered by demand for safe-haven assets amid a sharp escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.

The military confrontation between the US, Israel, and Iran continues to intensify. The US and Israel are striking military and infrastructure targets in Iran, while Tehran is responding with missile attacks on some neighbouring countries, including energy infrastructure facilities.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 500 forecast: the index is correcting after the sell-off

Amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, the US 500 plunged by 4.5% and is now undergoing a correction. The US 500 forecast for today is negative.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US Nonfarm Payrolls came in at -92 thousand in February 2026
• Market impact: the impact on the equity market is neutral

Fundamental analysis

The release of US Nonfarm Payrolls at -92 thousand, below a forecast of a 58 thousand gain, is a clearly negative signal for the equity market. This result means the US economy did not add jobs; on the contrary, employment declined. For the US 500 index, this typically implies stronger short-term pressure, as investors start pricing in weaker economic growth prospects, more cautious corporate guidance, and an increased risk of deteriorating company financial performance in the coming quarters.

In this situation, mixed price action is most likely. Pressure may emerge first in cyclical industries whose results directly depend on the pace of economic growth. These include industrials, consumer discretionary (durable goods), transportation, financials, and parts of the materials/commodities segment. The market may begin to price in weaker revenues and slower profit growth specifically in these sectors

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 500 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 30 index forecast: recovering after the sell-off

The US 30 index is undergoing a correction after a strong decline caused by the escalation of the military conflict in the Middle East. The US 30 forecast for today is negative.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US unemployment came in at 4.4% in February
• Market impact: the data has a mixed effect on the stock market

Fundamental analysis

The release of the US unemployment rate at 4.4%, above a 4.3% forecast and the previous figure of 4.3%, indicates a slight deterioration in labour market conditions. Although the change is relatively modest, such data traditionally attracts increased attention from financial market participants, as the labour market is one of the key indicators of the US economy’s health.

The composition of the US 30 index is particularly important. The index includes large corporations from industrials, financials, technology, consumer sectors, and healthcare. Therefore, labour market macroeconomic data can affect the index through shifts in expectations for future demand for these companies’ products and services.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 30 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team