Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[Vlad RF]

USDJPY slides down: investors cool on the US dollar

USDJPY moves lower to 143.79. The market awaits US data and monitors trade news. Details – in our analysis for 3 July 2025.

USDJPY forecast: key trading points

• USDJPY pair continues to decline with no signs of stopping
• Market focus – US trade deals and rising pressure on Japan
• USDJPY forecast for 3 July 2025: 142.67

Fundamental analysis

USDJPY fell to 143.79 on Thursday. The yen gained support from a weaker dollar and continued optimism over trade negotiations.

Japanese authorities confirmed their desire for a mutually beneficial agreement with Washington but did not reveal details of possible concessions. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump increased pressure on Tokyo, calling the negotiations very difficult and threatening tariffs of up to 35% on Japanese imports. The dissatisfaction stemmed from Japan’s limited purchases of US rice and cars.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

XAUUSD strengthens after collapse amid strong US employment data

XAUUSD quotes are recovering due to rising safe-haven demand amid budgetary and trade risks. Current quote – 3,339 USD. Details – in our analysis for 4 July 2025.

XAUUSD forecast: key trading points

• In June, US companies created 147,000 new jobs
• US unemployment rate fell to 4.1% instead of the expected 4.3%
• XAUUSD forecast for 4 July 2025: 3,465

Fundamental analysis

XAUUSD price is rising after yesterday’s sharp decline. Gold prices fell following strong US labour market data: in June, US companies created 147,000 new jobs – significantly above the forecast of 110,000. The unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 4.1% instead of the projected 4.3%. These figures reinforced expectations that the Fed will keep the interest rate at its current level.

However, concerns over the growing US budget deficit and persistent uncertainty in trade policy have increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. An additional factor was the passage of President Donald Trump’s bill in Congress, which provides for tax cuts and reductions in government spending.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team