Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

[Vlad RF]

US 30 index forecast: US 30 completes correction

The US 30 is completing its correction and is poised to resume its rise towards a new all-time high. A breakout below the 53,800.0 support level could push the index lower and open the way towards 52,900.0.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• Recent data: US PPI remained flat in July compared to June
• Market impact: the current data has a moderately positive impact on the US 30

Fundamental analysis

The release of the US Producer Price Index for July 2026 may have a moderately positive impact on the US 30 index and the US stock market overall, as PPI growth came in at 0.0% month-on-month versus expectations of a 0.2% increase. In June, the indicator fell by 0.1%.

For the US 30, the main positive factor is a potential easing of concerns about further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 30 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Solana receives double support: ETFs grow as Alpenglow speeds up the network

SOLUSD continues to strengthen today amid the development of regulated infrastructure. The current SOLUSD rate stands at 85.85

SOLUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Spot products on Solana continue to attract capital
• The Alpenglow upgrade is expected to significantly accelerate transaction finality
• SOLUSD forecast for 20 August 2026: 89.00 or 83.60

Fundamental analysis

Spot products on Solana continue to attract capital, while interest from large investors is supported by the development of regulated infrastructure. An additional positive factor is Bitwise’s plans to tokenise its Solana staking ETF through Superstate.

The main fundamental driver for the ecosystem is Alpenglow. The upgrade is expected to significantly accelerate transaction finality, with a target of around 150 ms compared to approximately 12.8 seconds for the current TowerBFT finalisation.

Read this article on RoboForex website - SOLUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US Tech on the verge of a new move: market awaits a signal from Jackson Hole

US Tech analysis shows that the index still has a good chance of extending its gains. The US Tech price currently stands at 29,345.8.

US Tech forecast: key takeaways

• The market is awaiting the outcome of the Jackson Hole Symposium
• High Treasury yields remain one of the main headwinds for further gains in stocks

Fundamental analysis

The US Tech forecast for today, 21 August 2026, takes into account that, following the decline, the index is forming a corrective wave and testing the 29,345.8 level.

US technology stocks came under renewed pressure after US Treasury yields rose. The 10-year Treasury yield is currently holding at around 4.71%, while the 30-year yield is near 5.25%.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US Tech Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

EURUSD retreats amid strong US service sector

The EURUSD pair is declining amid strong US macroeconomic data, although long-term factors continue to limit the downside potential. The rate currently stands at 1.1676.

EURUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The US service sector expanded at its fastest pace since December 2024
• Markets are pricing in only a 38.9% probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September
• EURUSD forecast for 24 August 2026: 1.1565

Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD rate is correcting for the third consecutive trading session after buyers failed to consolidate above the key 1.1695 resistance level. Last week, the EURUSD pair showed strong bullish momentum. The main driver of US dollar weakness was a move by US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who announced a doubling of long-term Treasury bond buybacks.

However, strong US macroeconomic data prevented the bulls from extending the uptrend. The services PMI unexpectedly rose to 56.8 in August, marking the fastest pace of expansion in the sector since December 2024.

Read this article on RoboForex website - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 500 under local pressure, but the broader uptrend remains intact

The US 500 is holding around 7,672 points, with the market conserving strength ahead of upcoming news.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• The US 500 remains within a broad ascending channel but is under short-term pressure
• Corporate earnings and the Consumer Confidence Index are in focus
• US 500 forecast for 25 August 2026: 7,608

Fundamental analysis

The US 500 is trading around 7,672 on Tuesday. US stock index futures are little changed as investors await another batch of corporate earnings reports that could provide fresh signals about the health of the technology sector and consumer activity.

Today, the focus is on earnings from Intuit, Zoom, Semtech, Dick’s Sporting Goods, and Macy’s. Particular attention will be paid to NVIDIA, which is due to report results on Wednesday.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 500 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

Ripple gains momentum: ETFs and RLUSD create a new foundation for XRP

Ripple is supported by inflows into spot ETFs and RLUSD growth above 2 billion USD. The XRPUSD rate currently stands at 1.4335.

XRPUSD forecast: key takeaways

• Spot XRP ETFs in the US continue to attract capital actively
• Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin has exceeded a market capitalisation of 2 billion USD for the first time
• XRPUSD forecast for 26 August 2026: 1.5170 or 1.3970

Fundamental analysis

The XRP price is undergoing a correction after its recent rise and is testing the 1.4335 level.

Spot XRP ETFs in the US continue to attract capital actively, with total inflows already approaching 1.4 billion USD. This further highlights the role of institutional demand as a separate driver for XRP.

Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin has exceeded a market capitalisation of 2 billion USD for the first time, with nearly 1 billion USD of this amount coming from the XRP Ledger.

Read this article on RoboForex website - XRPUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

JP 225 in local sideways range as the long-term uptrend remains intact

The JP 225 fell to 66,337 points. The Japanese market is trading mixed.

JP 225 forecast: key takeaways

• The JP 225 index is declining, while the Japanese market is trading mixed
• Investors are monitoring the Fed rate outlook and AI forecasts
• JP 225 forecast for 27 August 2026: 67,025

Fundamental analysis

The JP 225 index fell by around 0.3% to 66,337 on Thursday, while the broader Topix rose by 0.4% to 4,128. The Japanese market is trading mixed despite NVIDIA's strong outlook. Corporate data confirmed that demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure remains high.

Japanese technology companies are deeply involved in the global AI cycle. This factor remains one of the key drivers of growth in the local stock market over the past year.

Read this article on RoboForex website - JP 225 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

XAUUSD faces a key signal: dovish Fed rhetoric or another blow to gold

Gold continues to correct in anticipation of signals from the Federal Reserve, with prices currently at 4,575 USD.

XAUUSD forecast: key takeaways

• The core PCE for July rose to 3.7%
• The market estimates the likelihood of a rate hike in September at around 34%
• XAUUSD forecast for 28 August 2026: 4,720 and 4,550

Fundamental analysis

The XAUUSD price forecast for today, 28 August 2026, shows that gold continues its corrective wave after reaching its highest levels in more than three months and is testing 4,575 USD.

Today, markets are awaiting Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole. Following recent signals from Fed officials about persistent inflation risks.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Gold Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

USDJPY attracts buyers again as expectations weigh on the yen

The USDJPY pair has pulled back to 159.84 after another rise. Since the latest intervention, the yen has lost half of its gains.

USDJPY forecast: key takeaways

• The USDJPY pair remains strong and is poised for further gains, but after a correction
• The market is responding to comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh
• USDJPY forecast for 31 August 2026: 159.34 or 160.23

Fundamental analysis

The USDJPY rate is correcting after another rise and is trading around 159.84 on Monday. The Japanese yen remains near its monthly lows, pressured by hawkish comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, which strengthened expectations of a US rate hike in September.

The market currently estimates the likelihood of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike next month at roughly 57%, up from 40% a week ago.

Read this article on RoboForex website - USDJPY Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 500 on the threshold of September: high oil prices, risks, and rates

The US 500 declined but avoided a sharp drop. September is historically considered a challenging month for markets.

US 500 forecast: key takeaways

• The US 500 index edged lower but has not yet come under broad pressure
• September is historically considered a challenging month for capital markets
• US 500 forecast for 1 September 2026: 7,674 or 7,721.5

Fundamental analysis

The US 500 index fell to 7,694 points on Tuesday, marking a weak start to the week.

Sentiment is being weighed down by another rise in oil prices amid escalating conflict in the Middle East. Higher energy prices have fuelled inflation concerns and increased expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike in September, pushing up US Treasury yields.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 500 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team

 

[Vlad RF]

US 30 at a crossroads: the Fed weighs on stocks as NFP is set to deliver another surprise

The US 30 forecast for today is unfavourable for the index, which continues to lose ground amid rising US bond yields. The US 30 is currently trading at 52,695.0.

US 30 forecast: key takeaways

• The 10-year US Treasury yield is creating additional competition for equities
• A renewed escalation of the conflict between the US and Iran is increasing risks
• The main event of the week will be the NFP report due on 4 September

Fundamental analysis

The US 30 fundamental analysis for today, 2 September 2026, takes into account that after the decline, quotes continue their upward trajectory and are testing the 52,740.0 level.

Following hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve chairman, the market significantly increased the likelihood of a September rate hike.

Read this article on RoboForex website - US 30 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.

Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team