What's new

Why is the market unpredictable?


New Member
After all, all price fluctuations or market behavior are functions of traders' beliefs about the future. In other words, all price fluctuations are a function of traders' beliefs about what prices are too high and what prices are too low.

The basic driving force of market behavior is quite simple. There are only three main forces in any market, namely traders who think the price is underestimated, traders who think the price is overestimated, and traders who pay attention to observation and are prepared to decide whether the price is high or low.

In fact, the third type of people is a potential force, and things that support traders' beliefs about high and low prices are usually not important, because most people trade in a random manner without discipline and organization, and people are always fickle.

At any time, by observing the relative prices of the current market and the previous market, we can see which party has stronger beliefs. If there is a recognizable pattern, this pattern may be repeated, but the appearance of this pattern does not mean that the future market trend will be the same as history. This means that history will not be simply repeated, but it is always amazing. resemblance.

Because there are many things we don't know, and unless we learn to interpret the psychology of all traders, we will never know how the future market will go.

For example, do we know how many traders may be on the sidelines and prepare to enter the market? Do we know how many people on the sidelines want to buy how much, how many people want to sell how much, and whether the participation of traders has been reflected in In the current market, how many traders will change at any time and thus reverse operations. If they do, how long will they stay off the court? If they re-enter the venue, they will be optimistic about which direction.

These unknown hidden variables continue to appear and never stop, always playing a role in every market forexrebateking.com. The smartest trader will not pretend that these unknown variables do not exist, will not avoid these variables, nor will they use market analysis to give meaning and rationalization to these variables. On the contrary, the smartest traders will consider these variables and will It is incorporated into every link in the trading system.

The trading method of ordinary traders is just the opposite. They will trade according to what they can't see, hear, or feel, and the point of view that they definitely don't exist.

If the trader really believes that all hidden variables exist and may affect the price at any time, then the trader should and must believe that the outcome of each transaction is uncertain. Many value investors predict the long-term future market trend based on various market information, but it is difficult to predict price fluctuations in the short term because they cannot analyze the hidden variable of other traders' psychological changes.
There are many traders in the Forex market but not all traders can trade profitably. The forex market may change its shape after a while. That is why every trader has to work with his proper management.


New Member
The markets are steered by big institutions with big $. They set up traps and that's why an indicator or systems works sometimes and other times doesn't. We need to learn how to recognize the fake breakouts and also take some chances, with stop losses and take profit targets.


New Member
that's really a great interpretation of how things are going right there ... can't see why 99% lose if these infos are free


New Member
The forex market is unpredictable for those who don't know how it works. Basic education and understanding of Forex trading will help to make proper predictions. Also, it is important to be aware of your emotions while trading to avoid losing more than you gain.


New Member
The unknown hidden variables you are talking about also include things happening all over the world. Various news articles come up every minute related to various sectors of the market. Nobody is able to know people’s reaction to a news story before it is released. Once released people sometimes act very differently than expected.


Well-Known Member
I believe fundamental analysis takes these things into account, which makes it so difficult and complicated to conduct without extensive training.

Create an account or login to comment

You must be a member in order to leave a comment

Create account

Create an account on our community. It's easy!

Log in

Already have an account? Log in here.

Thread starter Similar threads Forum Replies Date
R Volatile and unpredictable market Forex Education 0
R Unpredictable market with great output Forex Education 0
T All good traders will use a combination of fundamental and technical analysis to find opportunities in the Forex market and there are several great to Trading Systems and Strategies 0
T forex How does the Forex market work? Trading Systems and Strategies 0
A Market doing some crazy trends Trading Systems and Strategies 0
M Best vps to use from the market Forex VPS 0
B I #1 Hie guys im new to forex trading. im looking for john ghatti cobra 2.0 ea along with the settings. Please share if forex market and the situation MetaTrader 0
R Stock market trading with Stephen Bigalow Trading Systems and Strategies 0
R Forex Trading for beating the market Trading Systems and Strategies 7
N Nice brokers in trading market Interactive Forex Trading 0
A Understanding The Myths Of Market Trends and Patterns Forex Education 0
F Profitable EA Cobra 1.0 helpful in the market place Forex Education 1
S Market is maniplulated Trading Systems and Strategies 2
T Learning forex and market analysis Forex Education 7
L Profitable forex ea in the market Forex Expert Advisors and Automated Trading 0
M Ethereum Surpasses the Half Billion Dollar Market Cap Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies 0
S More recent Beat the market maker course Trading Systems and Strategies 0
S Does the Beat The Market Maker works on Deriv? Trading Systems and Strategies 0
S Beat The Market Maker EA Trading Systems and Strategies 2
Wolf2000 Tutorial What Is the Forex Market? Other Topics 0
M How to do beat the market maker Trading Systems and Strategies 3
P market watch this week General Discussions 1
M The best free indicator from market place? Trading Systems and Strategies 1
C Market strucuture...impulse..correction. Trading Systems and Strategies 1
nervew Tutorial Web service for stock or forex market data General Discussions 0
S Indicator DJ Market Pro Indicator..... naikkan profit mu Forex Indicators and Tools 3
K MMM(Market Maker Method by Steve Mauro) Trading Systems and Strategies 1
J Veracity market good or not Complaints and Suggestions 0
S Profitable EA An increasing amount of the trading being done in the Forex market is being performed by Expert Advisors, software that uses Artificial Intelligence ( MetaTrader 0
A Maket Making Forex Bot, i am a pretty good programmer, however struggling with the creative side to create market making strategies. Forex Expert Advisors and Automated Trading 0
M MT4: FX Market Code.. Old but Gold Trading Systems and Strategies 5
B Trading psychology. What we think before we take a position in the market Forex Education 0
R Luck is needed in this market Forex Education 1
R Currency market is a risky a market Forex Education 2
L Elliott wave theory and its accuracy on the market. General Discussions 0
P market structure ..trading off of zones General Discussions 0
R To get success in the market Forex Education 1
D BCV Trading strategy by MARKET SNIPER Trading Systems and Strategies 4
L Beware of market makers Forex Broker Reviews 8
R stock market crash prediction Stocks and Indexes 1
R forex or stock market to start with Entertainment 0
K Three simple EA's (simple indicator strategy, simple market prediction strategy, simple breakout strategy) Trading Systems and Strategies 0
K Suggestion Stable spreads brokers even when the market is high in liquidity? Trading Systems and Strategies 0
N The currency market is the largest and most liquid of all financial markets. However, the percentage of successful traders is very low. Lack of proper Entertainment 0
R Make stable profits in Forex market Forex Education 0
M South Africa to regulate the crypto market Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies 1
M Fbk market direction 2021 General Discussions 0
M Top Down Analysis with Intrinsic Market Timing Forex Indicators and Tools 0
S 1 thing that will help you to trade any market General Discussions 6
C Strategy NON-repainter indicator to kill the market! Trading Systems and Strategies 9
Similar threads

AdBlock Detected

We get it, advertisements are annoying!

Sure, ad-blocking software does a great job at blocking ads, but it also blocks useful features of our website. For the best site experience please disable your AdBlocker.

I've Disabled AdBlock