What's new

Market Fundamental Analysis by RoboForex

3.00 star(s) 1 Vote
EURUSD disappointed by expectations: the market agrees with the Fed

The EURUSD rate is hovering around 1.1677 on Friday. Investors have become more optimistic regarding the Fed’s rate outlook. Discover more in our analysis for 26 September 2025.

EURUSD forecast: key trading points
  • The EURUSD pair ends the week with a noticeable decline
  • The overall Federal Reserve rate outlook has turned more optimistic
  • EURUSD forecast for 26 September 2025: 1.1644
Fundamental analysis

The EURUSD pair dropped to 1.1677 at the end of the week.

Investors are awaiting the release of the PCE price index, the Fed’s key inflation gauge, which should provide new guidance on future policy.

On Thursday, data showed a decrease in initial jobless claims by 14 thousand to 218 thousand, significantly better than forecasts. The statistics indicate companies’ reluctance to lay off staff. Revised GDP figures also confirmed 3.8% annualized growth in Q2, marking the fastest pace in nearly two years, supported by strong consumer spending.

Read this article on RoboForex website - EURUSD Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
 
DE 40 forecast: the index breaks out of the sideways channel and continues to decline

The DE 40 index approached a resistance level, but the downtrend continues. The DE 40 forecast for today is negative.

DE 40 forecast: key trading points
  • Recent data: Germany’s ifo Business Climate Index for September 2025 came in at 87.7 points
  • Market impact: the figures create a restrictive backdrop for the German equity market
Fundamental analysis

Germany’s ifo Business Climate Index for September 2025 stood at 87.7 points, below the forecast of 89.3 and lower than the previous figure of 88.9. This reflects weakening optimism among German companies, with cautious expectations regarding business activity, domestic demand, and external conditions. The decline highlights ongoing pressure from high costs, weak exports, and global economic uncertainty.

For the German equity market, these figures form a restrictive backdrop. Declining business sentiment could reinforce investor caution, particularly in industry, machinery, and exports, which are traditionally sensitive to shifts in the business climate. Much will depend on the ECB’s next steps — any monetary easing could help support the German economy.

Read this article on RoboForex website - DE 40 Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
 
Brent falls into the hands of the bears: rising supply signals nothing good

Brent slipped to 66.42 USD per barrel. The market is filled with negativity ahead of additional supply entering the market. Discover more in our analysis for 30 September 2025.

Brent forecast: key trading points
  • Brent crude declines under pressure from geopolitics and OPEC+ rhetoric
  • Additional supply on the global market will push prices down even faster
  • Brent forecast for 30 September 2025: 65.40
Fundamental analysis

Brent crude fell to 66.42 USD per barrel on Tuesday, extending the decline of the previous session. Prices are under pressure from expectations of increased global supply and discussions of a possible ceasefire in Gaza.

Media reports suggest that at Sunday’s meeting, OPEC+ may approve an additional output increase of at least 137,000 barrels per day starting in November.

Another factor was the resumption of oil exports from Iraqi Kurdistan. Flows through the Iraq–Turkey pipeline were restored on Saturday after a US-brokered agreement between regional authorities, Baghdad, Turkey, and foreign companies.

Read this article on RoboForex website - Brent Forecast

Attention!
Forecasts presented in this section only reflect the author’s private opinion and should not be considered as guidance for trading. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations described in these analytical reviews.


Sincerely,
The RoboForex Team
 

Create an account or login to comment

You must be a member in order to leave a comment

Create account

Create an account on our community. It's easy!

Log in

Already have an account? Log in here.

Similar threads

Replies
0
Views
517

Users Who Are Viewing This Thread (Total: 3, Members: 0, Guests: 3)

Top