Daily Market Analysis and Overview by Unitedpips

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis and Market Sentiment

Introduction to EUR/USD
The EURUSD currency pair, often regarded as the most liquid and widely traded pair in the forex market, represents the exchange rate between the Euro, the official currency of the Eurozone, and the United States Dollar. This pair reflects the economic dynamics and monetary policies of the Eurozone and the United States, two of the world’s largest economies. EUR/USD is highly responsive to key macroeconomic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation data, and central bank decisions from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed). Due to its high liquidity and volatility, it attracts a diverse range of market participants, from short-term traders to long-term investors, who closely watch geopolitical events, trade relations, and economic trends influencing both regions.


EURUSD Market Overview
The EUR/USD pair is showing cautious volatility ahead of key Eurozone inflation data and a series of Federal Reserve speeches this week. Traders are eyeing the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on September 12 and the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) on September 15, both crucial for gauging inflationary pressures in the Eurozone. Additionally, the Bundesbank’s 10-year bond auction on September 10 will provide insights into investor confidence and interest rate expectations. On the US side, Federal Reserve officials, including Richmond’s Thomas Barkin and Chicago’s Austan Goolsbee, are scheduled to speak, with markets closely monitoring for any hawkish signals that could strengthen the dollar. With the US dollar’s recent resilience amid expectations of ongoing Fed tightening, EUR/USD faces downward pressure but remains sensitive to upcoming economic data and central bank commentary.



EUR-USD Technical Analysis
The EUR/USD pair is currently experiencing moderate volatility as traders await key Eurozone inflation data, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) release on September 12 and the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) on September 15, both critical for assessing inflationary trends. Additionally, the Bundesbank’s 10-year bond auction on September 10 will be monitored for insights into investor confidence and interest rate expectations. On the US side, Federal Reserve officials such as Richmond’s Thomas Barkin and Chicago’s Austan Goolsbee are scheduled to speak, with markets attentive to any hawkish signals impacting the dollar. Amid the dollar’s recent resilience on expectations of further Fed tightening, EUR/USD faces downward pressure but remains sensitive to upcoming data and central bank commentary.


Final Words About EUR vs USD
In summary, the EUR/USD pair remains at a critical juncture, influenced heavily by upcoming Eurozone inflation reports and key Federal Reserve communications. The interplay between European price pressures and US monetary policy expectations will likely determine the pair’s near-term trajectory. Traders should closely monitor these economic releases and central bank signals, as shifts in either region’s outlook could drive significant volatility. Overall, the EUR/USD market continues to reflect the broader economic and geopolitical dynamics shaping both the Eurozone and the United States.


Disclaimer: This EURUSD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.


08.13.2025

 

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AUD/USD Approaches Key Resistance Amid Bullish Momentum

Introduction to AUD/USD
The Australian Dollar vs US Dollar currency pair, often referred to as the "Aussie", represents the exchange rate between Australia’s official currency and the United States dollar. This pair is one of the most traded in the forex market due to its strong link to global commodity prices, risk sentiment, and interest rate differentials between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Traders watch AUD/USD closely because it reflects both domestic economic conditions and global market trends. The pair’s volatility provides opportunities for both short-term and long-term trading strategies.


AUDUSD Market Overview
The AUD/USD pair is currently trading near 0.6553, sustaining its position within a broader bullish channel on the daily timeframe. In recent sessions, market sentiment has been shaped by upcoming key data releases from both economies. For Australia, traders are awaiting the August employment change and unemployment rate figures scheduled for release on September 18, 2025, which will provide crucial insights into the labor market's strength. In the US, the focus remains on the Producer Price Index (PPI) and Core PPI data set for September 10, 2025, along with weekly Initial Jobless Claims due on August 21, 2025. Hawkish remarks are also anticipated from FOMC members, including speeches from the St. Louis and Richmond Fed Presidents, which could influence the US dollar’s direction. Short-term sentiment leans slightly bullish for the Aussie due to technical positioning, but volatility is expected around these upcoming releases.



AUD-USD Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, AUDUSD continues to trade within a well-defined bullish channel, forming a pattern of higher highs and higher lows. Although a recent breakout attempt failed, with candles pulling back inside the channel, this suggests that buyers remain committed to the prevailing uptrend. The Keltner Channel shows price action holding above the middle line and nearing the upper band, signaling strengthening bullish momentum. Meanwhile, the Chaikin Oscillator hovers around the 13.615K level, indicating modest accumulation pressure, and the Awesome Oscillator prints a green histogram at -0.00019, reflecting a gradual shift toward positive momentum. Immediate support is seen near 0.6470, while key resistance levels stand at 0.6578—a zone the pair has struggled to clear—and the 0.6700 handle, which could be tested if bullish pressure persists.


Final Words about AUD vs USD
The Australian Dollar vs US Dollar pair maintains a constructive technical structure as long as it remains within the bullish channel on the daily timeframe. A sustained close above 0.6578 could open the path toward the 0.6700 region, while failure to break this resistance may lead to consolidation or a pullback toward 0.6470 support. Traders should closely monitor upcoming Australian labor market data and US inflation figures, as these will be key drivers for short-term direction. The interplay between commodity prices, Fed policy expectations, and RBA sentiment will continue to shape AUD/USD volatility in the coming weeks. Risk management remains essential given the upcoming high-impact events on the economic calendar.


Disclaimer: This AUDUSD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.


08.14.2025

 

[Unitedpips]

BTCUSD Outlook: Breakout Retest Holds Above 110k

Introduction to BTC/USD
The BTCUSD pair tracks the value of Bitcoin (BTC) against the US Dollar (USD)—the world’s reserve currency. Often dubbed “digital gold” and the “king of crypto,” Bitcoin’s price in dollars remains the most watched benchmark in the digital‑asset market. Because the denominator is USD, shifts in US economic data and the dollar index frequently sway BTC/USD. This daily analysis (D1) blends price action, support and resistance, and indicator signals to frame today’s trading outlook.


BTCUSD Market Overview
On the daily time frame, BTC/USD continues to respect a rising (ascending) channel, keeping the broader structure bullish despite intermittent pullbacks. Over the last two sessions, buyers defended the breakout retest above the 110,000 zone and pushed price back toward the 118,000–120,000 psychological area. From the USD side, traders are focused on a dense run of US macro releases that tend to move the dollar—and by extension BTC/USD—via risk appetite and liquidity. The docket includes Retail Sales and Core Retail Sales (ex‑Autos) from the Census Bureau, Import Price Index (BLS), Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization (Federal Reserve), Empire State Manufacturing Index (NY Fed), Business Inventories (Census), and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment & 1‑yr Inflation Expectations. As a rule of thumb, stronger‑than‑forecast US data tends to support USD and can cap BTC/USD, while softer prints usually weaken USD, lift risk assets, and can help the pair extend higher. The next notable dates cluster in mid‑September (UoM on Sep 12; NY Fed on Sep 15; Retail Sales, Import Prices, Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization, and Business Inventories on Sep 16), so positioning into those events may remain sensitive in the sessions ahead.

BTCUSD Technical Analysis
On the daily chart (D1), BTC/USD broke above 110,000, pulled back to retest that level, and is now bouncing from the lower boundary of a well‑defined ascending channel. Price is rotating toward the dashed median line of the channel, with immediate overhead supply layered near 118,500–120,000. Fibonacci expansion of the most recent impulse leg projects upside targets at ~133,000 (0.618) and ~148,900 (0.786) should momentum carry price through the midline and upper boundary. The Linear Regression Slope prints +346.13, confirming a positive trend bias and indicating that the path of least resistance remains higher while this reading stays elevated. The Momentum oscillator is near +4,295, signaling that bullish pressure is rebuilding after the retest; sustained readings above zero typically support trend continuation, though a flattening or rollover from here would warn of range development around the midline. Key support is stacked at the channel lower band and the 110,000–112,000 breakout shelf; a daily close below 110,000 would invalidate the bullish channel and expose deeper pullbacks toward prior swing zones. On strength, watch 120,000, then ~123,000–125,000 (intermediate resistance), before the Fibonacci targets at 133,000 and 148,900.


Final words about BTC vs USD
The BTC/USD daily outlook remains constructively bullish while price holds above 110,000 and inside the ascending channel. Bulls will look for follow‑through from the lower‑band reaction into the midline, and a firm daily close above 120,000 would strengthen the case for a run toward 133,000. Bears would need a decisive break back below 110,000 to shift control and put 100,000–105,000 back in view. Macro‑wise, upcoming US data could inject volatility—USD‑positive surprises may temporarily cap rallies, whereas USD‑negative outcomes could provide fuel for an extension toward the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci expansion levels. As always, align entries with the channel structure, respect psychological round numbers, and keep risk tight around invalidation levels on this BTC/USD daily analysis.


Disclaimer: This BTCUSD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.


08.15.2025