Daily Market Analysis and Overview by Unitedpips

[Unitedpips]

EUR/JPY Forecast: Will the Euro Hit 180 Against the Yen?

Introduction to EUR/JPY
The EUR/JPY currency pair—often referred to as “the Dragon”—represents the exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). It’s one of the most traded pairs in the forex market, known for its volatility and trend-driven movements. The pair attracts both short-term traders and long-term investors due to its sensitivity to global risk sentiment, monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), and macroeconomic data releases from both regions.


EUR/JPY Market Overview
As of the latest daily analysis, the Euro is showing resilience against the Japanese Yen, supported by improving inflation indicators in the Eurozone and expectations of steady consumer spending data. The European side has seen a string of important economic indicators—such as Germany’s Import Price Index, Real Retail Sales, and multiple Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases from France, Italy, and the Eurozone—suggesting stable price growth momentum. This reinforces expectations that the ECB will maintain a cautious but steady monetary stance. Meanwhile, in Japan, attention is on Tokyo’s CPI and unemployment rate releases, both scheduled for November 28, 2025, alongside data from METI and MLIT covering industrial production, retail trade, and housing starts. These upcoming reports will shed light on the strength of Japan’s domestic recovery. However, with inflationary pressures still subdued, the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose policy remains a drag on the Yen. As a result, EUR/JPY continues its bullish momentum, trading close to multi-year highs around the 178.00–179.00 zone.



EUR/JPY Technical Analysis
On the daily timeframe (D1), the EUR/JPY pair is moving within a strong ascending trend, respecting the rising trendline visible since late 2024. The price currently trades in the upper half of the Donchian Channel, with the upper band positioned around 178.80, indicating bullish control. The Fisher Transform indicator shows the Fisher line at 2.24 and the Trigger line at 1.96, confirming strong bullish momentum and suggesting continued upward pressure. Additionally, the Rate of Change (ROC) stands at 1.40, reinforcing the pair’s ongoing strength and positive price acceleration. The rising trendline near 166.00–168.00 acts as long-term support, while the Donchian basis line at 175.50 offers intermediate backing. Resistance is seen at 179.00, a psychological level that could trigger consolidation or a short-term correction. If the pair breaks above this resistance, it could target the 180.50–182.00 region, marking new yearly highs.


Final Words about EUR vs JPY
The Euro vs Japanese Yen (EUR/JPY) pair maintains a bullish outlook in the short to medium term. Market sentiment favors the Euro as inflation readings remain steady across major Eurozone economies, supporting a stable policy outlook from the ECB. On the other hand, Japan’s data suggests a continuation of accommodative policy, weighing on the Yen’s strength. Traders should monitor upcoming CPI and retail data releases from both regions, as these could reinforce or challenge the current momentum. Overall, as long as EUR/JPY holds above the 175.00–175.50 support zone, the bias remains upward, with potential targets extending toward 180.00–182.00 in the coming weeks. A decisive daily close above the 179.00 resistance could confirm further bullish continuation toward new highs.


Disclaimer: This EURJPY analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.


10.31.2025

 

[Unitedpips]

GOLD/USD Analysis: Sideways Movement Amid Bearish Signals

Introduction to GOLDUSD
The GOLD/USD pair, commonly known as XAU/USD, represents the price of gold per ounce quoted in US dollars. Known as a safe-haven asset, gold is often traded as protection against market volatility and inflation. Traders and investors track GOLD-USD closely to understand global economic stability and monetary policy shifts.


GOLD USD Market Overview
Currently, GOLD/USD is experiencing sideways movement with a mildly bearish bias. Market sentiment is influenced by recent statements from Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman, expected at the Santander International Banking Conference, potentially indicating a hawkish stance beneficial for the USD. Additionally, consumer sentiment data from RealClearMarkets shows mixed economic confidence, affecting the USD's strength and indirectly impacting gold prices. These factors lead investors to cautiously observe economic developments to gauge future gold movements. Traders should closely monitor upcoming USD-related news releases, as these will significantly impact GOLD dynamics over the coming days.

GOLD/USD Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, GOLD/USD has been consolidating around the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.382 at approximately $3966.91. The price action in recent candles indicates significant resistance at this Fibonacci level, supported by a noticeable bearish tilt. The Alligator indicator shows the green Lips line positioned at the top but trending downward, with the red Teeth line flat near the price, and the blue Jaw line gradually rising. The Fisher indicator signals bearish sentiment with values at -1.38 (Trigger line) and -1.41 (Fisher line), while the Rate of Change (ROC) indicator is at -3.30, suggesting negative momentum and potential further downside in the short term.


Final Words About GOLD vs USD
Considering the prevailing technical indicators and market sentiment, GOLD/USD is likely to maintain its sideways trend with a potential for bearish breakouts. Traders must pay close attention to upcoming economic indicators and Federal Reserve announcements, as these could create volatility and directional shifts. Risk management strategies should be prioritized, given gold’s sensitivity to global financial events and USD strength fluctuations. Continuous monitoring of Fibonacci retracement levels and Alligator indicator dynamics will provide critical insights for decision-making.


Disclaimer: This GOLD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.


11.04.2025

 

[Unitedpips]

EUR/USD Faces Pressure Ahead of Key US Data

Introduction to EUR/USD
The EUR USD pair, often called the "Fiber," is one of the most traded currency pairs in the global forex market. It reflects the value of the Euro against the United States Dollar and serves as a key indicator of global economic sentiment. Traders watch EUR/USD closely because it represents two of the world’s largest economies—the Eurozone and the United States—making it highly liquid and sensitive to geopolitical and macroeconomic developments. Understanding the EUR/USD pair’s behavior helps investors assess the strength of both currencies and forecast potential market movements.


EUR USD Market Overview
The EURUSD pair is currently facing bearish pressure as the US Dollar gains strength ahead of key US employment and services data releases. The latest ADP Employment Change, ISM Services PMI, and S&P Global Services PMI figures have reinforced expectations of a stable US labor market and resilient economic growth. This has supported the US Dollar, as traders anticipate that the Federal Reserve may delay rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Euro is under mild pressure, as recent data from Eurostat and Destatis suggest subdued industrial activity across the Eurozone, with German factory orders remaining weak. European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers, including Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel, are expected to speak soon, possibly hinting at the ECB’s next monetary direction. As of now, the EUR/USD pair trades around 1.1480, hovering near its short-term support zone, with traders awaiting clearer signals from both economies.

EUR-USD Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD daily chart shows that the pair recently peaked near 1.18637 before entering a sustained bearish phase. The price has now retraced toward the 0.236 Fibonacci level (1.14803), an area that has previously served as both support and resistance. This suggests potential consolidation or a short-term corrective bounce; however, bearish momentum remains dominant. The Awesome Oscillator (AO) currently reads -0.01445, confirming weakening bullish momentum, while the Chaikin Oscillator at -45.351K signals that selling pressure remains strong. Additionally, the Moving Average Channel sits above current price levels, reinforcing the bearish bias. A sustained break below 1.1480 could open the path toward deeper retracements at 1.1243 (38.2% Fibonacci) and 1.1051 (50% Fibonacci), while a rebound above 1.1600 would be needed to challenge the downtrend.


Final Words about EUR vs USD
The Euro vs US Dollar pair is in a delicate position as the bearish trend consolidates around a crucial support zone. While the Euro could find short-term relief if European data or ECB commentary turns more optimistic, the stronger US employment outlook and stable services sector keep the Dollar in control. Traders should monitor the upcoming ADP Employment Change and ISM Services PMI closely, as any upside surprises could trigger further downside for EUR/USD. Overall, the pair’s technical and fundamental setups align toward continued bearish sentiment in the near term, with potential volatility around key economic releases. As always, maintaining disciplined risk management and staying informed of central bank developments will be vital for navigating this volatile pair.


Disclaimer: This EURUSD analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.


11.05.2025

 

[Unitedpips]

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Central Banks Drive Market Sentiment

Introduction to EURGBP
The EUR/GBP pair, commonly known among traders as "Chunnel," reflects the exchange rate between the Euro and the British Pound. As a critical indicator of economic health in Europe and the UK, this currency pair is heavily influenced by economic policies from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BOE). EUR/GBP is favored among traders seeking exposure to the relative strength of Europe's two most significant economies without involving the volatility of the US dollar.


EUR GBP Market Overview
EURGBP currently shows bullish momentum driven by recent economic releases and central bank statements. The Bank of England’s recent Monetary Policy Report indicated a cautiously optimistic outlook, maintaining stable interest rates and signaling no immediate policy shifts. BOE Governor Andrew Bailey’s statements remained neutral to slightly hawkish, offering subtle support to GBP. On the Euro side, anticipation surrounds upcoming data releases from Destatis and Eurostat, particularly industrial production and retail sales, which traders predict will influence the ECB's monetary stance. Upcoming statements from Deutsche Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel may provide additional insights into potential ECB policy shifts, which could add volatility to EUR/GBP.



EUR/GBP Technical Analysis
Examining the EUR GBP daily chart, the pair exhibits clear bullish movement within an ascending channel, recently accelerating to a steeper trajectory, suggesting stronger bullish sentiment. Currently, the price action is approaching the 0.382 Fibonacci expansion level, which could serve as significant resistance before initiating a correction. Should a retracement occur, traders may anticipate the price returning towards the support level around 0.87413. The Williams Alligator indicates a bullish alignment with expanding jaws, while the Aroon indicator confirms bullish dominance. The Fisher Transform also remains positive, highlighting continued buyer confidence.


Final words about EUR vs GBP
In conclusion, EUR/GBP is likely to maintain its bullish stance in the short term, with traders closely watching the Fibonacci levels for possible corrections. Upcoming economic data and central bank communications will be crucial in determining whether the bullish trend sustains or faces substantial resistance. Traders should remain vigilant for signs of weakening bullish momentum around key technical levels and economic announcements. Prudent risk management is essential due to the potential volatility influenced by ECB and BOE decisions. Continued monitoring of economic indicators from both regions is recommended for informed trading decisions.


Disclaimer: This EURGBP analysis, provided by Unitedpips, is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Always conduct your own Forex analysis before making any trading decisions.


11.06.2025